In this video, Ross Bramwell gives our current commentary on the markets and the economy. Here are some key economic and investment themes that we will be covering.
- Tariff de-escalation and easing geopolitical tensions have supported market highs.
- A few initial trade deals are done, but Eurozone and other deals may take longer.
- The Fed is likely to hold rates as inflation and unemployment risks remain balanced. Tariffs have not impacted inflation data.
- U.S. consumer spending is holding up, but signs of caution are emerging.
- Labor market strength is key; jobless claims will be closely watched as jobs data has softened recently.
- CEO sentiment has improved modestly with lower tariff uncertainty.
- Q1 earnings beat expectations; Q2 may show more tariff impact.
- Overall positioning – Diversification remains important amid policy and economic uncertainty. We remain cautious but believe recession risk has eased for now, but remains a concern if Trump feels emboldened to be more aggressive on tariffs by tax bill passage.
Watch here: https://youtu.be/Q7SvL8HVAEs
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